Wall Street Market
Prepare for a terrible year for the trader market - some of this can be drawn from the projections of most Wall Street analysts for the next year.
Given the fact that the FRF Chairman Janet Yellen is about to raise the stakes for the first time in 10 years, experts believe that the incomes of the sheddings are just nothing but how to start growing. According to Bloomberg, expectations for income growth for the following year have been peaked since 2009.
Whether projections match reality, a big question. The fact is, for the second year in a row, a large number of different market players make the rate of returns, but each time they suffer losses.
"In the next year, a breakthrough is finally due to be found by Chris Rapki, the chief financial economist of the Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ bank. While the market ignores the fact that Yellen and FOMC are getting closer and closer to tightening policy."
By the way, Mr. Rapki is one of the most aggressive 74 analysts interviewed by Bloomberg. He expects an increase in the return of ten-year-olds to 3.4% by the end of the year. The figure now stands at 2.5 per cent. For the sake of fairness, Rapki predicted a return of 3.6 per cent at the end of this year in January this year.
Average analyst projections are more limited: 3.1 per cent at the end of 2015. If we add a two-year return forecast for two-year bonds up to 1,53 per cent, as well as 30-year-old to 3.7%, these projections are the lowest in 2009.
This year's analysts have made a mistake. Prices on tracks, instead of falling, rose by 5.7 per cent, and yields fell accordingly.
In this regard, expectations for the fall in bond prices have only increased. In the Bloomberg Global Poll survey, respondents are requested to select only one short-sale asset, and more than 20 per cent of traders, analysts and investors have selected treasury bonds.
In addition, the investment public was impressed by U.S. GDP statistics. According to recent data, the American economy had grown by 5 per cent, making investors believe that inflation and inflation were rising. In addition, unemployment is 5.8 per cent.
